Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Sun Belt
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.8#52
Expected Predictive Rating+10.5#46
Pace65.0#228
Improvement-1.1#219

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#93
Improvement-0.8#204

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#28
Improvement-0.3#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 32.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four28.5% n/a n/a
First Round19.5% n/a n/a
Second Round7.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 333   Alabama St. W 97-53 99%     1 - 0 +26.9 +8.2 +15.1
  Nov 13, 2012 221   @ Savannah St. W 58-55 83%     2 - 0 +2.9 -5.2 +8.1
  Nov 18, 2012 2   Florida L 45-66 16%     2 - 1 -0.7 -9.8 +5.4
  Nov 20, 2012 134   @ Central Florida W 75-61 66%     3 - 1 +19.5 +9.7 +10.9
  Nov 24, 2012 170   Texas Southern W 79-52 89%     4 - 1 +23.5 +10.5 +15.5
  Nov 29, 2012 233   @ Louisiana W 72-58 84%     5 - 1 1 - 0 +13.2 -3.1 +16.0
  Dec 02, 2012 56   @ Akron L 77-82 OT 42%     5 - 2 +7.0 +3.4 +4.2
  Dec 05, 2012 167   UAB W 84-64 89%     6 - 2 +16.7 +5.0 +10.4
  Dec 08, 2012 32   Mississippi W 65-62 55%     7 - 2 +11.5 -3.4 +14.9
  Dec 13, 2012 50   @ Belmont L 49-64 37%     7 - 3 -1.9 -12.7 +9.1
  Dec 18, 2012 166   Tennessee St. W 77-48 88%     8 - 3 +25.8 +4.6 +22.6
  Dec 21, 2012 84   Vanderbilt W 56-52 66%     9 - 3 +9.7 -5.9 +16.1
  Dec 29, 2012 187   Florida International W 69-52 90%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +12.6 -9.4 +21.1
  Dec 31, 2012 261   North Texas W 75-57 95%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +9.0 +7.5 +3.5
  Jan 03, 2013 150   @ Arkansas St. L 60-66 OT 71%     11 - 4 3 - 1 -2.0 -10.7 +9.0
  Jan 05, 2013 202   @ South Alabama W 60-56 79%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +5.4 -2.1 +8.0
  Jan 10, 2013 234   Florida Atlantic W 62-52 94%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +2.6 -0.6 +5.4
  Jan 12, 2013 326   @ Louisiana Monroe W 66-57 95%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +0.2 -8.7 +9.2
  Jan 17, 2013 223   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-50 93%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +25.3 +5.2 +19.0
  Jan 19, 2013 233   Louisiana W 82-60 94%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +14.7 +4.4 +10.2
  Jan 24, 2013 261   @ North Texas W 72-64 87%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +5.5 +0.2 +5.4
  Jan 26, 2013 183   Western Kentucky W 72-53 90%     18 - 4 10 - 1 +14.8 +3.8 +13.0
  Jan 31, 2013 187   @ Florida International W 66-64 77%     19 - 4 11 - 1 +4.1 -4.8 +8.9
  Feb 02, 2013 234   @ Florida Atlantic W 73-56 84%     20 - 4 12 - 1 +16.0 +10.5 +8.0
  Feb 07, 2013 150   Arkansas St. W 73-60 87%     21 - 4 13 - 1 +10.5 +6.7 +4.6
  Feb 09, 2013 272   Troy W 93-41 96%     22 - 4 14 - 1 +42.1 +26.0 +22.6
  Feb 16, 2013 223   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 66-61 83%     23 - 4 15 - 1 +4.8 -8.0 +12.5
  Feb 21, 2013 202   South Alabama W 85-50 91%     24 - 4 16 - 1 +29.9 +6.9 +20.9
  Feb 23, 2013 326   Louisiana Monroe W 87-46 98%     25 - 4 17 - 1 +25.7 +14.9 +14.7
  Feb 28, 2013 272   @ Troy W 66-56 89%     26 - 4 18 - 1 +6.5 -2.3 +9.9
  Mar 02, 2013 183   @ Western Kentucky W 70-62 76%     27 - 4 19 - 1 +10.3 +4.0 +7.0
  Mar 09, 2013 233   Louisiana W 81-66 90%     28 - 4 +10.9 +5.1 +5.7
  Mar 10, 2013 187   Florida International L 57-61 85%     28 - 5 -5.1 -10.2 +4.7
Projected Record 28.0 - 5.0 19.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 100.0% 32.6% 32.6% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.6 3.3 25.6 2.7 67.5 32.6%
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 32.6% 0.0% 32.6% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.6 3.3 25.6 2.7 67.5 32.6%